Financial Market

Global stock markets have tumbled today; with European indexes recording some of the biggest loses in recent years, and worst early January trading since records began on the back of growing fears of recession hitting the US.

Indexes in Europe fell as much as 7% after huge a sell off in Asia leading to the biggest single days trading losses in recent years. The selling started in Sydney where stocks fell 3% recording their 11th straight decline, spurring the way for Asian markets to follow suit.

Hong Kong’s Hang Sang index recorded its biggest fall since 9/11 falling 5.5%, with losses of between 3% and 7% seen in India, China, Britain, France and Germany.

In afternoon trading, the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 was down 5.7 percent. The CAC 40 index in Paris was down 5 percent, having fallen more than 7 percent at one point. The Dax 30 in Frankfurt was down 6.25 percent, and the FTSE 100 in London was down 3.7 percent.

US markets are shut today due to public holiday, but more losses are expected tomorrow after an announcement by President Bush on a $145 billion stimulus package to encourage more consumer spending failed to lift markets on Friday.

Many are of the opinion that the stimulus package plan announced by President Bush may not be enough to prevent a recession, and investors will find it hard to argue that recession will not affect world markets after today’s trading.

“Investors in Asia have been in a state of denial about the possibility of a recession in the United States. But now there’s no debate about it.” - Adrian Mowat, chief strategist for JPMorgan in Asia

And there may be even more losses in Asia still to come, particularly as banks report the fallout from their investments in the United States mortgage market.

The price of Gold today reached a new all time high when it was traded at $914 an ounce, up on the $866 high mentioned on Financial Market on the 3rd January.

With continued safe haven buying as investors seek a protection from looming recession in the US Gold has continued to set all time trading highs.

A continued weak Dollar has continued to boost the metal as foreign currency investors look to take advantage of their strong position in world trading. This time however it was other precious metals that were also recording all time trading highs for themselves, with Platinum also trading at $1,587 an ounce, and silver hitting a 27 year high of $16.58.

Precious metals are surging after the collapse of high risk sub-prime home loans market spurred a global credit crunch. Now investors are looking for investments with a perceived lower risk.

The price of gold passed a 28 year high of 850 dollars an ounce today following unrest in Pakistan and political turmoil in Kenya fuelled demand for the precious metal.

The current price of gold which hit $866.53 on the London Bullion Market, which although in part been contributed towards by the declining dollar which fell against the Euro again today, is as a result of demand brought on by safe haven buying.

The relationship between political unrest and an increased interest in gold is nothing new, and in troubled times gold is often seen as a safe haven for protecting investment funds from the impacts of inflation seen with stock and share investments.

Historically gold has not seen the rises of in 2007 (up 30%) since 1979, when the Iranian revolution crippled crude oil exports and US inflation hit 13%.

The rises in gold have come as record oil prices have been gradually driving up inflation, and supplies from South Africa, the world’s biggest producer, have dropped to the lowest in 84 years.

The demand for the metal has also has arisen due to heavy losses in credit markets which have spurred demand for alternatives to stocks and bonds. With the dollars drop investor interest in dollar-priced commodities is growing as they become cheaper for buyers using stronger currencies.

“Investors are worried about the oil prices and the weak dollar. When the situation is unstable, they invest their money elsewhere and this has boosted buying interest in gold” - Gary Yue, a gold dealer at Delta Asia Financial Group.

Also a factor in the rise of the price of gold, according to the World Gold Council, is the increased volume of jewellery purchases in emerging economic powerhouses China and India.

Gold is tipped to continue to increase in value over the coming months. Amongst the aforementioned reasons for the precious metals popularity, it believed many investors will continue to look at gold as a way of protecting reserve funds from acceleration inflation.